Single Articles - the ultimate article blog

Titles Titles & descriptions

  

Farms need SFP to survive.

Navigation: Main page

Author: Unknown

Section: direct talk on… SFP Entitlements
Farms need SFP to survive


The single farm payment is on its way at last, but that's not the end of the story. Starting with the results of our exclusive survey, in conjunction with farm business consultant Andersons, this special feature will guide you through the maze of entitlement issues

Most farmers will use their single farm payment to inject much-needed cash into their farming operations, according to an exclusive survey by farm business consultant Andersons and Farmers Weekly.

Although many advisers have suggested the money should not be used to shore up farm businesses, it seems most farmers cannot afford to set it to one side.

At least two-thirds of the 95 farmers surveyed said they would use some of their cheque to reduce their overdraft or pay off other short-term loans. And a quarter predicted that all the money would be used to pay off accumulated business debts.

"This means less than a third of producers believe they are sufficiently profitable to earmark the aid for other purposes," said Andersons partner David Neill.

But only a few of that third were looking at investments beyond the farm gate. Most said they would use the SFP for capital investments, perhaps making up for years of under-investment.

"Although the aim should eventually be for farming enterprises to stand on their own feet without subsidy, the results confirm how difficult that is to achieve in the current climate," Mr Neill said.

"It's no real surprise, given where we are with prices and costs. And bills and overdrafts have been going up over the winter. It would be nice to think that farmers could eventually ring-fence their SFP, but whether that's possible remains to be seen."

The survey suggested that few respondents were thinking that way at the moment. Almost 60% stated they did not anticipate a change in the way they would spend their cheques.

Of those who thought their spending patterns might change, a clear aim was to broaden the business base, with many looking at diversification and off-farm investments. However, a good few thought that they would be more likely to need the money just to keep the business running.

"For those farmers who are planning to invest payments in their farm businesses, there is a trend towards property and buildings rather than shiny new toys."

New buildings or storage facilities came top of the list, with farmhouse or cottage improvements and barn conversions next. Tractors and materials handlers, livestock equipment including milking equipment, farm vehicles and combines followed.

Respondents' farms ranged from 6-1300ha across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. The largest category was combinable crops, but good responses were also received from dairy, grazing livestock, and roots farms.

Perhaps surprisingly, almost a third of farmers said they might consider taking their SFP in euros. "This suggests they want more control over when payments are converted into sterling, or they have a use for euros -- perhaps for purchasing inputs or taking on a euro loan," Mr Neill said.

"This may have implications for the supply trade if farmers really are this keen. The banking sector will also need to offer the industry simple and cheap euro bank accounts."

While almost 90% of farmers had a good idea of their 2005 receipts, worryingly less than half had tried to quantify the amounts through to 2012, said Mr Neill.

"It's enough of a concern that about 10% have no idea of how much they should be receiving this year.

"But it is even more concerning that many do not seem to realise that, given the various possible deductions plus the effect of inflation, the value of the SFP in real terms could halve for many businesses by 2012.

"Producers really should be aware of how their payments are likely to drop and know the effect of this on their business," he added. "And, most importantly, they should have a plan to deal with it."

GRAPH: WHAT FARMERS ARE SPENDING THEIR SFP ON Most farmers will be ploughing their SFP cheques back into their existing business, according to our exclusive survey.

~~~~~~~~

Edited by Andrew Shirley

How much is the SFP worth?

Most farmers should soon know exactly how much their SFP will be worth for 2005, but what is the outlook for the rest of the scheme, which is expected to last until 2012?

"For the first few years everybody's payments will be different as they will be based on their historic subsidy claims," says George Chichester of Strutt & Parker. "But as the regional payment grows (see table) payments will gradually start to align."

Mr Chichester's figures include estimates of future cutbacks like modulation and financial discipline and deductions to fund the national reserve, but one of the biggest variables will be the exchange rate used to convert the euro payment into sterling (€1 equalled 68.2p for 2005 payments), he says. "This is likely to be based on the rate on 30 September in the year of payment."

Once the likely income stream from the SFP has been worked out, it is possible to calculate a net present value to the recipient of the payment. Although a pure investment appraisal alone might suggest a value of £869/ha (£352/acre), the many uncertainties of future exchange rates, deductions and the structure of the scheme, make it unlikely anybody would want to buy entitlements for that much.

"The likelihood is that capital values will settle in the region of £500-£550/ha for entitlements with a full history, although eventually supply might start to exceed demand and if that happens price will reduce further."

* Because every business will have different payments Farmers Weekly has teamed up with Strutt & Parker to produce an online SFP calculator. Simply go to fwi.co.uk/business to work out how much your SFP could be worth during its lifetime.

PREDICTED SFP PAYMENTS (£/HA)

Legend for Chart:

A - Year
B - Historic payment
C - Regional payment
D - % deductions (est)
E - Total
F - Net present value

A        B        C        D         E        F

2006   212.50    30.20   15.00    206.30   187.70
2007   175.00    60.30   17.50    194.10   161.10
2008   137.50    90.40   20.00    182.30   138.50
2009   100.00   120.60   22.50    171.00   119.70
2010    62.50   150.80   25.00    160.00   100.80
2011    25.00   180.90   27.50    149.30    86.60
2012     0      201.00   30.00    140.70    74.60

Total                            1203.70   869.00


Some items on this website are used by permission granted
in the Fair Use guidelines of the 1976 U.S. Copyright Act.
info [at] singlearticles.com
Powered by CommonSense

Buyers get the EDGE.
The article focuses on the trends in the U.S. housing industry as of May 2006. There was a long sta...

Guilty Plea Expected In Staffer's Use Of Steele's Credit Report.
This article reports that U.S. Democratic staffer Lauren Weiner is expected to plead guilty today fo...

Rx for DOCTOR bills.
The article features the Medical Expense Manager software from Quicken. The software makes it easy...